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Trading Strategies

Commerce Technique 2.12.25 | Polaris Buying and selling Group for Shares and Futures Merchants

dailyxrp
Last updated: 2025/02/12 at 7:31 PM
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S&P 500 (ES)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Constructive 3-Day Cycle Statistic (91%) stays intact as worth traded above the CD1 Low (6041.25) and fulfilled its preliminary goal (6085). Total exercise was muted as merchants await the all-import CPI Report. Vary for this session was 41 handles on 984k contracts exchanged.

FREE TRIAL hyperlink to PTG/Taylor Three Day Cycle

For a extra detailed recap of the buying and selling session, click on on this hyperlink: Buying and selling Room RECAP 2.11.25

 

…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: At this time begins a brand new cycle with the target to determine a safe low from which to stage the subsequent rally. 

Odds of Decline > 10 = 79%…> 20 = 56% 

Merchants have been in a “holding-pattern” forward of the all-important Client Value Index (CPI) print at the moment @ 8:30 am. Under is a preview of expectations.

Keep alert for potential “spike” worth strikes on the discharge!

Upcoming US CPI Report: Market Expectations and Implications

The upcoming Client Value Index (CPI) report, scheduled for launch on February 12, 2025, is anticipated to point out that inflation remained comparatively secure in January. Market forecasts recommend a 0.3% month-over-month enhance within the headline CPI, barely under December’s 0.4% rise, sustaining the year-over-year fee at roughly 2.9%.

Core CPI, which excludes unstable meals and power costs, can be anticipated to rise by 0.3% month-over-month, with a year-over-year enhance of three.1%, down from 3.2% in December.

These projections point out that whereas inflation has moderated from its mid-2022 peak of 9.1%, it stays above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal. Components akin to current tariff implementations and a powerful labor market, evidenced by low unemployment and sturdy wage development, may contribute to persistent inflationary pressures.

Traders are intently monitoring these developments, as higher-than-expected inflation may affect Federal Reserve coverage selections, doubtlessly delaying anticipated rate of interest cuts.

In fact, nothing adjustments for PTG…Merely comply with your plan. Take solely Triple A setups and handle the $threat. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the trade.

PTG’s Major Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, situations to contemplate for at the moment’s buying and selling. 

Bull State of affairs: Value sustains a bid above 6090+-, initially targets 6110 – 6115 zone. 

Bear State of affairs: Value sustains a proposal under 6090+-, initially targets 6075 – 6070 zone.

PVA Excessive Edge = 6096    PVA Low Edge = 6075         Prior POC = 6087

   ES (Profile)

Nasdaq (NQ)

Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: Constructive 3-Day Cycle Statistic (91%) stays intact as worth traded above the CD1 Low (21552.75). Total exercise was muted as merchants await the all-import CPI Report. Vary for this session was 202 handles on 418k contracts exchanged.

 

…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1

Transition into Cycle Day 1: At this time begins a brand new cycle with the target to determine a safe low from which to stage the subsequent rally.

Odds of Decline > 20 = 82%…> 25 = 76% 

Keep alert for potential “spike” worth strikes on the discharge!

In fact, nothing adjustments for PTG…Merely comply with your plan. Take solely Triple A setups and handle the $threat. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the trade.

PTG’s Major Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.

As such, situations to contemplate for at the moment’s buying and selling. 

Bull State of affairs: Value sustains a bid above 21785+-, initially targets 21875 – 21900 zone. 

Bear State of affairs: Value sustains a proposal under 21785+-, initially targets 21700 – 21670 zone.

PVA Excessive Edge = 21828     PVA Low Edge = 21743         Prior POC = 21785

NQ (Profile)

Financial Calendar

Commerce Technique: Our tactical commerce technique will merely stay unaltered…We’ll be versatile to commerce each lengthy and quick facet from Determination Pivot Ranges. Proceed to concentrate on Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Reductions. As at all times, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day pressure will increase possibilities of manufacturing successful trades.

Keep Targeted…Non-Biased…Disciplined  ALWAYS USE STOPS!

Good Buying and selling…David

“Realizing just isn’t sufficient, We should APPLY. Keen just isn’t sufficient, We should DO.” –BR

*****This commerce technique report is disseminated for “training solely” and shouldn’t be considered in any method as a suggestion to purchase or promote futures merchandise.”

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS

IMPORTANT NOTICE! No illustration is being made that the usage of this technique or any system or buying and selling methodology will generate earnings. Previous efficiency just isn’t essentially indicative of future outcomes. There may be substantial threat of loss related to buying and selling securities and choices on equities. Solely threat capital must be used to commerce. Buying and selling securities just isn’t appropriate for everybody.

Disclaimer: Futures, Choices, and Forex buying and selling all have giant potential rewards, however in addition they have giant potential threat. You will need to concentrate on the dangers and be keen to simply accept them to be able to put money into these markets. Don’t commerce with cash you’ll be able to’t afford to lose.

This web site is neither a solicitation nor a proposal to Purchase/Promote futures, choices, or currencies. No illustration is being made that any account will or is prone to obtain earnings or losses just like these mentioned on this web page. The previous efficiency of any buying and selling system or methodology just isn’t essentially indicative of future outcomes.

CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN

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